February 11, 2012

Packer fans, beware!

After the number one offense failed to generate anything in the preseason opening loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers, fans weren't to optimistic about the Green Bay Packers doing a whole lot this season.

Fast forward one week after the Packers rolled to a 48-13 win over Seattle and many of those same fans have now done a complete about face.

Here's where we put up the caution flag.  As coaches say, it's never as bad as you think and it's never as good as you think.

So after two preseason games, here's what I think we know about this team.

Defense:  It's going to be pretty good.  Barring injuries, the defensive line is rock solid and very deep.  Definitely the strength of this unit.  The starting linebackers are also very good, led by 2nd year player A.J. Hawk.  But here's to keeping that unit healthy, because what's behind them isn't really appealing at this stage of the game.  The secondary is rock solid at corner with Al Harris and Charles Woodson, while Nick Collins is steady as they come at safety.  If the Packers are going to say they're better defensively than a year ago, they must find a way to replace Marquand Manuel.  Manuel is just average and so far appears to be a mistake as far as a free agent signing.  Atari Bigby is pushing for his job.  If Bigby is better and wins the job, the Packers are better on defense.  If not, well lets just hope we're not looking at the backside of Manuel's jersey too often this season.

Offense:  The offensive line gained a year in experience with Darryn Colledge and Jason Spits gaining that year of playing time.  They naturally will be better, which should take the tightends out of mass protection schemes, something they did a lot of last year.  Speaking of tightends, Donald Lee looks like he has the upperhand on that job, but the Packers are going to need Bubba Franks to rebound from a poor year and actually contribute something for this group to be better.  The wide receivers will be better then last year.  The depth here appears to be pretty good and 3rd round pick James Jones will get better each week.  He's already pretty good.  The question at running back is depth and youth.   Because of a knee injury that sidelined Vernand Morency all of training camp so far, rookie second round pick Brandon Jackson has gotten more than his share of reps and he's benefited from it.  Jackson appears to be the legitimate starter when the Packers open up against the eagles.  Brett Favre is Brett Favre.  If he's patient and spreads the ball around, he and the offense could have a good year.  For the Packers to have a chance at the post season for the first time in three years, Favre will have to play some of his best football.

Special teams is better than last year, at least that's what we see so far.  It looks like Will Blackmon has won the return duties and he's already flashed some displays of big play ability in training camp so far.  Punter Jon Ryan is back and kicking well and the battle goes on between Mason Crosby and incumbant Dave Rayner at kicker.  This one is too close to call.  Alright, I pick Crosby.

Now, the Packers have a more difficult schedule this season with four of their first six opponents being playoff teams from a year ago.  That, coupled with a young team and you see the difficulty in picking this one.  With youth comes mistakes.  How well the Packers avoid them will depend on whether or not they make a push for the playoffs. 

I'm not drinking the Kool-aid, but I do think that if all the stars lineup, even with a tough schedule, there's a chance the Packers could find their way to 9-7 and in playoff contention.

But inspite of all of the above, I think the defense is really going to be fun to watch.  A.J. Hawk is unbelievable.  Cullen Jenkins and Aaron Kampman are in for big seasons.  And don't be surprised if you see Kabeer Gbaja-Biamila return from whatever holiday he's been on the past few seasons and post some decent numbers.

Remember the key word though.  Injuries.  At certain positions, like running back, the Packers are a serious injury away from disaster.  Cross your fingers fans and hope for the best!

 

Flooding takes out Wisconsin's "iron interstate"

Crews have been at work since Sunday night, to restore service on Wisconsin's busiest rail corridor. State railroad commissioner Rodney Kreunen says a foot of rain triggered a mudslide, which swept five cars from a freight train off the Burlington Northern Santa Fe tracks in Vernon County over the weekend, and caused extensive damage to the state's most heavily trafficked train route. The double track route routinely carries up to fifty trains a day, as it supplies coal to power plants along the Mississippi River, and is also a major freight route all the way to the Gulf Coast. Kreunen says the railroad hopes to have one set of tracks back in operation by Monday night, and both back in operation by Wednesday night. In the meantime, rail traffic has been shifted to other lines in Wisconsin . Krenen says both the track and roadbed were extensively damaged by the mudslide, and he expects that it's in the range of a million dollars worth of damage.

AUDIO: Bob Hague reports (:65 MP3)

Governor Doyle tours flooded region

Governor Jim Doyle is getting a first-hand look at the damage caused by flooding in southwestern Wisconsin.

Heavy rains have forced evacuations and caused millions of dollars in damages so far. Governor Doyle toured the flood ravaged areas on Monday morning. He says it's remarkable how high the water reached in many of the hardest hit areas, where as much as 12 inches of rain fell over the weekend.

The Governor has declared a state of emergency in Crawford, Richland, and Vernon Counties. Right now, he says the focus is on helping the hardest hit areas by making sure there were no injuries and getting the power and infrastructure restored.

Meanwhile, officials in Vernon County are watching at least six earthen dams that could be in trouble because of the heavy rains. The Governor says homes downstream from those flood control dams have been evacuated.

Damage estimates from the storms have already topped $24 million from just the three hardest hit areas. Governor Doyle says that amount will probably climb though as families who were evacuated return to their homes. Based on the damage he witnessed, the Governor is anticipating the state will request federal disaster aid funding. 

AUDIO: Andrew Beckett reports (MP3 1:38)

More rain ahead for flooded southwest WI

The weather forecast doesn't look good for people in the southwest part of state hoping to dry out from this weekend's floods.

According to the National Weather Service in Sullivan, another round of thunderstorms with heavy rain is possible for Tuesday night into Wednesday. In fact the area may not see any dry weather until Friday or Saturday.

Meteorologist Ken Rizzo says this pattern of storms is not terribly unusual. But the amount of rain they're producing is unusual. Rizzo says there's been anywhere from five to fifteen inches in the southwest during the past five days.

For someone living in the southern part of the state it may be difficult to understand most of the state is still in a drought. Rizzo says areas north of Stevens Point have gotten very little rain and are still in what he calls a moderate drought.

AUDIO: Jim Dick ( :46 MP3 )

Sheets to throw simulated game today

Milwaukee Brewers pitcher Ben Sheets is scheduled to throw a simulated game this afternoon in Arizona.

Depending on the outcome, Sheets could either head out for a rehab start, or he could possibly pass on that and make a start for the Brewers on their current road trip. 

The Brewers play three in Arizona, followed by three games this weekend in San Francisco.  They'll follow that up with a 3-game series in Chicago against the Cubs.  It's the final series of the season with Chicago.